Rex Tillerson out as secretary of state, inflation is stable and OPEC cuts will remain in place, a bullish American Petroleum Institute report... Crude oil prices had some wild swings yesterday as the market whipsawed from one headline to the other. Oil was modestly higher but plunged after a report that Iran was thinking to raise output to pay off some Chinese investors.
Yesterday was a tough session for market bulls, and we took our licks. CPI data was in line with expectations and this did pave the road higher for equity markets; the S&P traded to a new swing high of 2807.25 and the Nasdaq extended to a new record. Not so fast though, the White House took another dramatic turn with the release of Secretary of State Rex Tillerson.
Equity markets are coming out of a mixed session sandwiched in between critical economic indicators; while the E-mini S&P 500 was unchanged yesterday, the Nasdaq gained 0.5% and the Dow lost 0.5%. Gold surprisingly lost ground overnight, yesterday’s session should have been constructive enough to keep the sellers at bay through CPI data at 7:30 a.m. Central.
March madness started early in crude oil as prices fell on relatively light volume and focused on bearish news about ignoring bullish news at its own peril. Traders sold oil off on a report that showed an increase in supply in Cushing, Okla., but it is about time. The Nymex Storage hub has seen supply fall at a record pace in recent weeks, and seeing that we are deep into refinery maintenance we should start to see the supply recover.
Friday marked the ninth anniversary of the stock bull market, the second longest since World War II following the spectacular run in the 1990s that finally met its match when the tech bubble burst in March 2000.