Volatility picked up last night after the People’s Bank of China cut a key interest rate and sent the Yuan to the weakest level against the Dollar since June 27, 2017. Equity markets and commodities took a swift hit but battled back in the overnight hours. The S&P traded right into key support at 2789.75-2792 with a low of 2793.50 before recovering to 2806; what a beautifully technical move, we will discuss more in that section below.
It appears that Saudi Arabia is saying "enough is enough" when it comes to the correction in crude oil and wants to set the record straight, just one day after an unscheduled Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee with all the OPEC and Non-OPEC conspirators, Saudi Arabia wanted the market to know that they were not flooding the market with oil.
Every market participant knew this day was coming; trade tensions return to the forefront. While acquisitions relevant to U.S. and China trade negotiations stemming from Larry Kudlow’s interview escalated overnight, the White House Chief Economic Advisor, the true burden is a weakening Chinese yuan and the EU preparing a list of countermeasures to U.S. tariffs on European autos.
If you want 11 million reasons to be optimistic about America, you might want to start with counting barrels of crude oil. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported that U.S. crude oil production exceeded 11 million barrels a day for the first time in history. Not too many years ago, that would have seemed to have been impossible by many who lacked the imagination and drive of those in the U.S. energy industry.
After the sluggish wages data yesterday, the pound was hit again this morning on news UK inflation remained flat in June, raising further doubts over an August rate hike from the Bank of England. But this was good news for the stock markets, with the commodity-heavy FTSE 100 extending its gains after a sizeable rally the day before and despite ongoing weakness in prices of crude oil and metals.
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s testimony took its toll on crude oil, and a bearish report from the American Petroleum Institute (API) isn’t helping either. The Fed chairman caused the dollar to soar which pressured many commodities as he told the Senate Banking Committee that "Several years” of strong jobs, low inflation still ahead of us."
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE), a leading operator of global exchanges and clearing houses and provider of data and listings services, announced plans to launch a physically delivered Permian West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures contract, deliverable in Houston, Texas. The Houston delivery point has become the pricing center for U.S. crude oil production and exports, and the new flat price futures contract is designed to serve hedging and trading opportunities in this growing market.
Asian equities fell on Tuesday after crude oil prices tumbled by more than 4.6% during the previous session, following reports that Saudi Arabia has offered additional crude supplies to some of its Asian customers and that the U.S. may release some of its strategic petroleum reserves to bring prices down.