We have seen an attempt of a new push up on stocks indices in the last few sessions with E-mini S&P500 moving into 2815 level while German DAX rallied yesterday toward 12770. If the DAX will stay in uptrend and U.S. markets also later, the U.S. dollar/Japanese yen currency pair can see more upside as well, but maybe after a deeper pullback as part can be stepping into a fourth wave after that intraday reversal down from 113.00 area.
Asian equities followed Wall Street higher on Thursday, as investors cheered strong quarterly results from corporate America that have taken away the focus from trade jitters, for now at least. Out of the 55 companies that announced results, 87% managed to beat earnings estimates while only 7% missed the mark. With EPS growth exceeding 22% we are obviously heading towards the best earning season in eight years.
To say this week has been a poor one for the British pound is an understatement. The downbeat currency – already reeling from ongoing Brexit and political uncertainties – has been hit further by disappointing domestic economic data. Investors have been left wondering whether the soft data may have any implications on the Bank of England’s decision to hike interest rates next month. Although a 25 basis point rate rise is still likely, the probability of a no change has risen thanks to the disappointing wages, inflation and now retail sales figures.
Global equity markets were mostly mixed while the Dollar dipped ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s first Congressional testimony later today. Powell’s testimony could offer investors a fresh opportunity to appraise the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy approach for the second half of 2018. The central bank head is expected to reiterate that the Federal Reserve remains committed to gradual monetary policy tightening.
Investors have been left wondering whether today’s sluggish jobs data may have any implications on the Bank of England’s rate decision next month. Total pay levels rose at an annual rate of 2.5% in the three months to May, unchanged from April, according to the ONS.
The dollar started the new week lower, supporting the major currency pairs such as the euro/U.S. dollar (EUR/USD) currency pair and poubd//U.S. dollar (GBP/USD) currency pair this morning. There wasn’t any fresh news out to impact the greenback, so its weakness can be attributed in part to profit-taking.
The U.S. dollar was higher across the board against major pairs on Friday. Trade war concerns rose heading into the weekend and the comments from U.S. President Donald Trump during the week sparked a rally of USD buying. Trump has been outspoken on NATO, trade and the Brexit deal while economic indicators and the US Fed have been supportive of the greenback.
If you were just to look at the where the major currencies are trading relative to yesterday’s US close, you’d think it’s been a pretty quiet day; after all, none of the majors are trading more than 0.3% from the day’s open as of writing. However, that apparent tranquility is masking some big moves (and subsequent reversals) over the last 20 hours.